Swing

28 d

75%

accuracy (≥60% confidence only)

6 correct

2 incorrect

0 pending

8 high confidence

16 low confidence

Intermediate

90 d

88%

accuracy (≥60% confidence only)

7 correct

1 incorrect

0 pending

8 high confidence

16 low confidence

Long-Term

365 d

100%

accuracy (≥60% confidence only)

5 correct

0 incorrect

5 pending

10 high confidence

14 low confidence

How we score this

For each month-start we run the AI5 engine in historical mode — every indicator, support/resistance level and macro overlay uses only data that was available on that date.

At the horizon end (28 days for Swing, 90 for Intermediate, 365 for Long) we check the actual spot close and bucket the move: a bullish call is correct if gold rose by more than the noise threshold (2% / 4% / 8%), bearish if it fell by that much, neutral otherwise.

Horizons that haven't elapsed yet are marked pending — they count toward neither correct nor incorrect.

Month-by-month verdicts

Month	Spot at start	Swing — 28d	Intermediate — 90d	Long-Term — 365d
Apr 2026 2026-04-01	Spot at start $ 4784.26	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Correct call -4.65% $4784 $4562	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Verdict pending (37 d left) -5.75% $4784 $4509	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 78% Verdict pending (312 d left) -5.75% $4784 $4509
Mar 2026 2026-03-01	Spot at start $ 5386.98	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Correct call -17.44% $5387 $4448	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Verdict pending (6 d left) -16.29% $5387 $4509	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Verdict pending (281 d left) -16.29% $5387 $4509
Feb 2026 2026-02-01	Spot at start $ 4666.27	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 60% Correct call +15.45% $4666 $5387	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 50% Wrong call -1.12% $4666 $4614	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 70% Verdict pending (253 d left) -3.36% $4666 $4509
Jan 2026 2026-01-01	Spot at start $ 4348.35	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +24.09% $4348 $5396	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +10.02% $4348 $4784	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Verdict pending (222 d left) +3.70% $4348 $4509
Dec 2025 2025-12-01	Spot at start $ 4232.73	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 95% Correct call +2.35% $4233 $4332	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 86% Correct call +27.27% $4233 $5387	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 95% Verdict pending (191 d left) +6.54% $4233 $4509
Nov 2025 2025-11-01	Spot at start $ 4001.67	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +5.72% $4002 $4231	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +21.58% $4002 $4865	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Verdict pending (161 d left) +12.69% $4002 $4509
Oct 2025 2025-10-01	Spot at start $ 3865.80	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 95% Wrong call +1.67% $3866 $3930	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 67% Correct call +12.06% $3866 $4332	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 77% Verdict pending (130 d left) +16.65% $3866 $4509
Sep 2025 2025-09-01	Spot at start $ 3476.47	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 73% Correct call +10.28% $3476 $3834	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 62% Correct call +21.69% $3476 $4231	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 84% Verdict pending (100 d left) +29.71% $3476 $4509
Aug 2025 2025-08-01	Spot at start $ 3362.88	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +2.53% $3363 $3448	High Confidence Bullish confidence 64% Correct call +19.67% $3363 $4024	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 57% Verdict pending (69 d left) +34.09% $3363 $4509
Jul 2025 2025-07-01	Spot at start $ 3339.21	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Correct call -0.37% $3339 $3327	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +14.82% $3339 $3834	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Verdict pending (38 d left) +35.04% $3339 $4509
Jun 2025 2025-06-01	Spot at start $ 3380.21	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call -3.13% $3380 $3274	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Correct call +2.01% $3380 $3448	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Verdict pending (8 d left) +33.41% $3380 $4509
May 2025 2025-05-01	Spot at start $ 3241.00	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +2.35% $3241 $3317	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Correct call +1.06% $3241 $3275	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +42.36% $3241 $4614
Apr 2025 2025-04-01	Spot at start $ 3110.55	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 95% Correct call +6.64% $3111 $3317	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 74% Correct call +6.21% $3111 $3304	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 79% Correct call +53.81% $3111 $4784
Mar 2025 2025-03-01	Spot at start $ 2893.71	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +6.58% $2894 $3084	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +13.67% $2894 $3289	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +86.16% $2894 $5387
Feb 2025 2025-02-01	Spot at start $ 2813.49	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 95% Wrong call +1.60% $2813 $2859	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 86% Correct call +15.19% $2813 $3241	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 73% Correct call +72.93% $2813 $4865
Jan 2025 2025-01-01	Spot at start $ 2657.16	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +3.78% $2657 $2758	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +17.06% $2657 $3111	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +63.65% $2657 $4348
Dec 2024 2024-12-01	Spot at start $ 2638.93	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Correct call -0.72% $2639 $2620	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +8.32% $2639 $2859	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 95% Correct call +60.40% $2639 $4233
Nov 2024 2024-11-01	Spot at start $ 2735.16	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call -2.98% $2735 $2654	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +2.15% $2735 $2794	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +46.33% $2735 $4002
Oct 2024 2024-10-01	Spot at start $ 2662.82	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 95% Correct call +4.22% $2663 $2775	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 69% Wrong call -1.61% $2663 $2620	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 78% Correct call +45.18% $2663 $3866
Sep 2024 2024-09-01	Spot at start $ 2499.29	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +6.35% $2499 $2658	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +6.17% $2499 $2654	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 44% Correct call +39.10% $2499 $3476
Aug 2024 2024-08-01	Spot at start $ 2445.42	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 95% Correct call +3.10% $2445 $2521	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 95% Correct call +13.94% $2445 $2786	High Confidence Strong Bullish confidence 73% Correct call +37.52% $2445 $3363
Jul 2024 2024-07-01	Spot at start $ 2331.70	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +2.22% $2332 $2384	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +13.99% $2332 $2658	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 59% Correct call +43.21% $2332 $3339
Jun 2024 2024-06-01	Spot at start $ 2350.35	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Correct call -1.05% $2350 $2326	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Wrong call +6.50% $2350 $2503	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +39.95% $2350 $3289
May 2024 2024-05-01	Spot at start $ 2317.90	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 0% Correct call +0.90% $2318 $2339	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +3.91% $2318 $2408	Market conditions unclear — prediction not possible confidence 15% Wrong call +39.82% $2318 $3241

Gold Engine Backtrack Test

Swing

Intermediate

Long-Term

Month-by-month verdicts